Let
us understand the logic behind the direct relationship between MPC and
multiplier through Multiplier
Mechanism. It runs like this:
1)
Suppose AB industry limited spends Rs. 100 crore in setting up a new plant
i.e ∆I
= Rs. 100 crore.
This
will lead to creating more demand for goods and services required for the
setting up of this new plant. There will more demand for machinery, raw
materials, labour etc.
This
will generate income for all those people who are associated with the setting
up this plant and leading to more output and income.
As
a result national income in the first will increase by an amount equal to
amount of investment i.e ∆Y = Rs. 100 crore
2)
This ∆Y = Rs. 100 crore would be
split into ∆C and ∆S as a part of income is spent and a
part of it is saved.
3)
In round – 2, ∆C would be converted into ∆Y
as people who receive this new income (Rs. 100 crore) directly from the
building of the factory will spend some of it on consumer goods like food,
clothing, TV, cars, etc.
Here comes an
important point:
The
exact amount of additional consumption expenditure depend on the MPC(c).
Suppose
MPC is 0.8, then
MPC = ∆C / ∆Y (as discussed in consumption function)
∆C = MPC (∆Y)
∆C = 0.5(100)
= Rs. 50 crore
If MPC is 0.4, then
∆C = 0.4(100)
= Rs. 40 crore
Thus
higher the value of MPC would mean higher ∆C
Accordingly, ∆Y in round - 2 (which
is equal to ∆C) would depend on the value of MPC. Higher MPC would mean higher
∆Y.
If
we take MPC = 0.5 and move ahead our
Multiplier mechanism.
When
output and employment increase to meet this demand (income earned to factors of
production by AB industry) for consumer goods like food, clothing, TV, cars,
etc. further income will be created for firms and workers producing these
consumer goods.
Therefore,
income of these people will increase by Rs. 50 crore.
4)
This increased income of Rs. 50 crore leads to a further income due to increase
in the consumption expenditure in the third round equal to:
MPC is 0.5, then
∆C = 0.5(50)
= Rs. 25 crore
This
will generate an income of equal amount i.e. Rs. 25 crore.
The reason is that expenditure by one
person becomes the income of another person.
This
process of increase in income will continue to be repeated in subsequent rounds
with income in each round of spending MPC( c) times the increase in income in
the previous round.
The
below table illustrates the Multiplier
Mechanism.
It
is based on the assumption that MPC =
0.5
Round
|
Increase in Investment Expenditure(∆I)
(Rs. Crore)
|
Change in Income(∆Y)
(Rs. Crore)
|
Increase in Consumption(∆C)
(Rs. Crore)
|
Savings
(Rs. Crore)
S = Y- C
|
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
|
100
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
|
100
50
25
12.50
6.25
3.12
1.56
0.78
0.39
0.20
|
50
25
12.50
6.25
3.12
1.56
0.78
0.39
0.20
0.10
|
50
25
12.50
6.25
3.12
1.56
0.78
0.39
0.20
0.10
|
100
|
200
|
100
|
100
|
In
different time periods, as shown in the table, income will go on increasing as
a result of increase in consumption expenditure.
Total
increase in income = Rs. 200 crore
Since
increase in investment = Rs. 100 crore
Multiplier:
K = ∆Y / ∆I
= 200 / 100
K = 2
Or
K = 1 / 1-MPC
= 1 / 1-0.5
= 1 / 0.5
K =
2
With a change in investment of Rs. 100
Crore, total income in the economy doubles to Rs. 200 crore which explains that
investment had a multiplier effect in the economy.
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