Showing posts with label investment multiplier. Show all posts
Showing posts with label investment multiplier. Show all posts

Investment Multiplier At a Glance

The working of the Multiplier assumes the following process:
multipler-process
multipler-process
Change in investment causes change in income. As a result, consumption changes. Consumption expenditure of one person is an income of the other.
Hence, change in consumption leads to change in income. This process continues till ∆C falls to zero.
MPC is the core factor in the process of income generation. Higher the MPC, greater is the conversion of income into consumption expenditure. Accordingly, greater is the generation of income. As, it is expenditure that is converted into income.
Expenditure is the injection into the income generation process, saving is the leakage.

For Detailed Study -

How Multiplier Mechanism Works

Let us understand the logic behind the direct relationship between MPC and multiplier through Multiplier Mechanism. It runs like this:

1) Suppose AB industry limited spends Rs. 100 crore in setting up a new plant i.e  ∆I = Rs. 100 crore.
This will lead to creating more demand for goods and services required for the setting up of this new plant. There will more demand for machinery, raw materials, labour etc.
This will generate income for all those people who are associated with the setting up this plant and leading to more output and income.
As a result national income in the first will increase by an amount equal to amount of investment i.e  ∆Y = Rs. 100 crore

2) This ∆Y = Rs. 100 crore would be split into ∆C and ∆S as a part of income is spent and a part of it is saved.

3) In round – 2, ∆C would be converted  into ∆Y as people who receive this new income (Rs. 100 crore) directly from the building of the factory will spend some of it on consumer goods like food, clothing, TV, cars, etc.
Here comes an important point:
The exact amount of additional consumption expenditure depend on the MPC(c).
Suppose MPC is 0.8, then 
MPC = ∆C / ∆Y (as discussed in consumption function)
∆C = MPC (∆Y)

∆C = 0.5(100)
     = Rs. 50 crore

If  MPC is 0.4, then

∆C = 0.4(100)
     = Rs. 40 crore

Relationship between Investment multiplier and Marginal propensity to consume

There is a direct relationship between multiplier and MPC. Higher the value of MPC, higher the multiplier affect and lower is the value of multiplier, lower the multiplier effect. 
We have already derived the multiplier formula i.e 
K = 1 / 1-MPC

Now we see the multiplier effect by taking different values of MPC

If MPC = 0.5 
K = 1 / 1-MPC
K = 1 / 1-0.5
    = 1 / 0.5
    = 2

Derivation of Investment Multiplier Formula

The multiplier formula can be derived by using the simple equilibrium condition for the two sector model i.e  
Y = C + I 
When there is an increase in investment by (∆I), it will lead to increase in income (∆Y) and this induces increase in consumption (∆C) i.e

∆Y = ∆C + ∆I 
Since, change in total consumption (∆C) equals change in income multiplied by MPC (marginal propensity to consume, “c”)

∆Y = c∆Y + ∆I

∆Y - c∆Y = ∆I
∆Y(1-c) = ∆I
∆Y = ( 1 / 1-c)  ∆I 
∆Y/ ∆I = 1 / 1-c

Graphic Presentation of Multiplier

Investment multiplier can also be explained with the help of the a diagram, as shown below:
investment multiplier
investment multiplier
1) Income is shown along the X axis and Aggregate demand on Y axis.

2) The initial equilibrium is at point A, When AD = C + I

Investment Multiplier

Investment multiplier or output multiplier refers to the number by which change in investment (∆I) multiplies to become change in output/income (∆Y).It is measured as the ratio between change in output/income and change in investment.
K =  ∆Y / ∆I
K = Multiplier
∆Y = Increase in output/income
∆I = Increase in investment